Saturday 7 May 2016

Kentucky Derby 2016 picks from the experts



Kentucky Derby 2016 | Twinspires.com's Ed DeRosa with his Derby Pick | 00:52

Twinspires.com's Ed DeRosa gives his picks for Kentucky Derby 2016.

The Courier-Journal collected quick Kentucky Derby142 picks from our staffers as well as voters in The C-J's weekly top 20 poll that have followed the Triple Crown trail from its start.

With little consensus among handicappers about this year's field, best of luck at the betting window.
Frank Angst, The Blood-Horse

Winner: #15 Outwork

On the board: #5 Gun Runner, #13 Nyquist

Longshot I like: #4 Mo Tom

Comment: Considering the track conditions, Outwork ran a very impressive race to win the Wood Memorial and I think his early speed will help him in this year’s Derby, which is not deep with early runners.
Gabby Gaudet, Gulfstream Park/Pimlico

Winner: #14 Mohaymen

On the board: #9 Destin, #13 Nyquist, #5 Gun Runner

Longshot I like: #4 Mo Tom

Comment: Mohaymen's Florida Derby was too bad to be true. Maybe it was because he chased a talented/fresh horse five-wide on a off track? There's a reason why he was once the Derby favorite, and I look for a rebound.
Jeff Greer, The Courier-Journal

Winner: #10 Whitmore

On the board: #11 Exaggerator, #13 Nyquist

Longshot I like: #12 Tom's Ready

Comment: Picking Whitmore with the most scientifically-proven method out there: You pet it, you bet it.
Jon Hale, The Courier-Journal

Winner: #11 Exaggerator

On the board: #13 Nyquist, #12 Tom's Ready

Longshot I like: #8 Lani

Comment: I've only picked the Derby winner once, so anyone who takes these picks to heart is making a poor life choice.

READ MORE:How to bet Derby day on a $100 bankroll
Trixie Hammer, LadyAndTheTrack.com

Winner: #3 Creator

On the board: #15 Outwork, #14 Mohaymen

Longshot I like: #17 Mor Spirit

Comment: There are bigger longshots than Mor Spirit, but I'll take the "anteater" for my fun win bet.
Joe Kristufek, Churchill Downs

Winner: #9 Destin

On the board: #13 Nyquist, #14 Mohaymen, #15 Outwork

Longshot I like: #2 Suddenbreakingnews

Comment: With nine committed closers in the field and only a handful of forward types, I truly expect the early Derby tempo to be moderate.

READ MORE: Notes, quotes on every Kentucky Derby 2016 horse
Jonathan Lintner, The Courier-Journal

Winner: #19 Brody's Cause

On the board: #13 Nyquist, #5 Gun Runner

Longshot I like: #20 Danzing Candy

Comment: If the Blue Grass winner pushes the button on the back stretch, he could get there even with an outside post position.
Marty McGee, Daily Racing Form

Winner: #11 Exaggerator

On the board: #3 Creator, #19 Brody's Cause

Longshot I like: #16 Shagaf

Comment: The Brothers Desormeaux have come a long way since they teamed together with Yazoo at Acadiana Downs.
Laffit Pincay, NBC Sports

Winner: #15 Outwork

On the board: #13 Nyquist, #10 Whitmore

Longshot I like: #20 Danzing Candy

Comment:Outwork will avenge his sire Uncle Mo's Derby disappointment.

READ MORE: Entries, odds for Kentucky Derby 2016 field
Mary Rampellini, Daily Racing Form

Winner: #13 Nyquist

On the Board: #11 Exaggerator, #14 Mohaymen

Longshot I Like: #2 Suddenbreakingnews

Comment: R-E-S-P-E-C-T. The champion Nyquist will be getting it from this corner as a four-time Grade 1 winner whose talent, tactical speed and determination has carried him to wins at distances ranging from five furlongs to a mile-and-an-eighth.
Paul Rolfes, The Courier-Journal

Winner: #13 Nyquist

On the board: #14 Mohaymen, #19 Brody's Cause

Longshot I like: #5 Gun Runner

Comment: There are 20 good, potentially great, 3-year-olds in the field, with 19 out to prove Nyquist isn’t another American Pharoah. Trainer Steve Asmussen’s stable might deliver a Derby winner – if not Gun Runner then Creator.
Tim Sullivan, The Courier-Journal

Winner: #13 Nyquist

On the board: #5 Gun Runner, #16 Shagaf

Longshot I like: #12 Tom's Ready

Comment: Hard to pick favorite to win a fourth straight Derby; harder to find a better horse.

READ MORE: Why your Kentucky Derby horse can and can't win
Hank Wesch, Del Mar

Winner: #13 Nyquist

On the board: #14 Mohaymen, #2 Suddenbreakingnews

Longshot I like: #4 Mo Tom

Comment: Good break from good post + high cruising speed + heart to fight last quarter = Roses.
Jon White, Santa Anita Park

Winner: #13 Nyquist

On the board: #11 Exaggerator, #8 Lani

Longshot I like: #16 Shagaf

Comment: I'll go with undefeated Nyquist in what shapes up as a fascinating Derby, though I did have more confidence in American Pharoah last year and I would not be surprised if there is an upset this year.
Tim Wilkin, Albany Times-Union

Winner: #14 Mohaymen

On the board: #17 Mor Spirit, #19 Brody's Cause

Longshot I like: #15 Outwork

Comment: Mohaymen reclaims top spot after Florida Derby flop, and at a price, too.

READ MORE: Here's your guide to going to Kentucky Derby 2016
Alicia Wincze Hughes, Lexington Herald-Leader

Winner: #13 Nyquist

On the board: #9 Destin, #19 Brody's Cause

Longshot I like: #18 Majesto

Comment:Nyquist has already beaten most of the major contenders and he is versatile enough to make his own luck regardless of trip and/or pace scenario.

MORE FROM THE COURIER-JOURNAL:

Kentucky Derby 2016 horses, odds, post position

Our panel of handicapping experts tell you about their picks

Kentucky Derby 2016 odds updated all day

Why your Kentucky Derby horse can win, or not

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